AO hard courts look faster this year

Anyone else seeing the pace uptick in Melbourne? My parse of the Infosys point-by-point feed from the first 12 men’s matches shows unreturned serve rate up 2.8 percentage points and average rally length down to 3.9 shots after adjusting for server ranking; curious if it’s the balls or the early-session heat driving it. If you’ve got court-speed numbers or Hawk-Eye pace data from today, post it — I’ll fold it into a quick comparison vs 2024 baseline.

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Seeing the same on 1573 and Kia — like someone turned the grit dial down a notch, with daytime heat amplifying it. Caveat: night sessions and closed‑roof sets look a tick slower, so the first‑12‑match sample might be session‑skewed. If you can, split by court/roof and flag the 2–3 games after a ball change, and check Hawk‑Eye’s “post‑bounce speed” or “time to contact” to tease balls vs surface.

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I’d try splitting your feed by new‑ball games 1–3 vs 4–7 and by on‑court temp; if the unreturned‑serve bump is front‑loaded, it’s the balls, otherwise it smells like a slicker GreenSet. Also, if you can grab Hawk‑Eye’s post‑bounce speed on neutral backhands as a proxy for CPI, that’ll settle it — feels like the paint got a fresh polish, @amelia_wright91.

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Leaning surface — your ‘3.9 shots’ plus +2.8 pp unreturned points to lower friction beyond just hot sessions. Do you have roof-open/closed in that 12‑match parse? If so, build on @amelia_wright91 and fit a simple model with temp, roof, ball‑change game, and court; a positive court effect at night would pin it on the paint.

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